I first began my mission helping investors steer clear of Wall Street because I learned first hand how the game was played after having worked in the industry.
My mission has been to help investors become more knowledgeable and successful by providing cutting-edge investment research as well as top-notch educational content. I think I've done quite well in that regard.
Unfortunately, most people have forgotten how critical it is to know the credibility and reliability of the sources they choose to follow.
Instead of checking credentials and track records, they go by the number of likes, fake comments and reviews and heresay from people they have no idea about.
Those who are unfamiliar with me can find out more about my credentials, my background, as well as my investment research track record here, here, and here.
The reader can examine my track record of predicting the 2008 financial crisis and enabling investors to capture life-changing profits by checking here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.
Putting Global Debt into Proper Context
Fiscal stimulus totaling $14 trillion related to the coronavirus pandemic has swelled global public debt to an estimated 98% of GDP in 2020.
While this is certainly concerning, keep in mind that as GDP growth recovers, this measure of debt will decline.
Furthermore, this high level of debt does not imply an imminent collapse in output as was previously thought by establishment economists. In order to better understand this claim, some background will be helpful here.
The 2008 financial crisis caused economies to suffer from the greatest collapse in output since the “Great Depression.” The post-crisis period was particularly challenging for the European Union (EU).
As you will recall, many EU member nations faced a sovereign debt crisis threatening to topple these nations. This period was very significant because it had the potential to create sufficient momentum needed to dissolve the EU. This is something the establishment would do anything to prevent.
Viable solutions were needed to deal with the drastic economic conditions seen in Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Italy, and Greece.
Two establishment economists at Harvard University, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff used their influence convince government officials that the best solution for the economic collapse faced by the EU was to impose austerity in order to reduce high levels of government debt.
The push for austerity would later gain support in Washington based on the conclusions made by Reinhart and Rogoff.
The argument for austerity was based on a 2010 research paper by Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff. The paper concluded that nations with a debt-to-GDP greater than 90% were likely to face a severe drop off in economic growth due to a higher percentage of government revenues going to service debt obligations.
Thereafter, the credit rating of nations with these debt levels was expected to plummet, leading to very high refinancing rates (we published written and video presentations pointing to the most important factors leading to a sovereign debt crisis; see 2012 Mid-Year Global Economic Analysis, p.p. 169-182; see Global Economic Analysis: The Big Picture video presentation, December 23, 2011).
With EU officials searching for ways to deal with distressed economies of its member nations, the conclusions made by Reinhart and Rogoff were used to justify harsh austerity measures in Europe. The results were devastating. Strangely, the research paper by Reinhart and Rogoff was never even peer reviewed.
By 2013, the conclusions made by Reinhart and Rogoff in their 2010 paper were debunked by an economics graduate student who merely tried to recreate the conclusions reported by Reinhart and Rogoff after going through the same data.
The biggest problem with the research study from Reinhart and Rogoff was their selective use of data which altered the results of the study.
By the time Reinhart and Rogoff’s paper had been debunked the damage had already been done in Europe. The IMF held its ground imposing continued harsh austerity measures in Greece and other EU member nations.
In short, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff were guilty of not only intellectual fraud but also academic fraud. Their efforts to deceive officials created an enormous opportunity for Wall Street and other investors to essentially steal assets from several EU member nations at pennies on the dollar (see “The Rape of Greece by the Jewish Bankers”).
Reinhart and Rogoff never faced any penalties as a result of their actions because their fraudulent research enabled vultures to feast on prey. They never even lost influence as establishment economists. This is a topic I discussed (casually) several times over the past decade because it provides a critical lesson in understanding who controls things and how control is exercised.
Fast forward to the present day. Rather than being shunned as disgraced economists, Reinhart and Rogoff are back at it again, crying wolf as a result of the high global debt burden.
The point is that while the global debt is certainly worrisome, it’s not something by itself that is expected to create a problem. The impact of a high debt burden arises primarily in the event that another systemic crisis appears.
It is critical to understand and always remember that no legitimate source that provides credible content sells advertisements or provides endorsements. These are the kinds of shady activities that charlatans and influencers are involved with. If you do not fully understand why this is the case, we invite you to examine the more than 500 articles, videos and audios explaining why, providing specific examples.
View Mike Stathis' Track Record here, here, here, here, here, here and here.
We have documented, time stamped publications backing the results in the following charts.
Most of the material shown in the following charts can be found in our track record links (see the links below).
We have documented, time stamped publications backing the results in the following charts.
Most of the material shown in the following charts can be found in our track record links (see the links below).
We have documented, time stamped publications backing the results in the following charts.
Most of the material shown in the following charts can be found in our track record links (see the links below).
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We publish four (4) monthly research publications which provide the highest quality analysis (without any of the BS) found anywhere:
Stathis Shows Ackman, Soros And Bass Who The Boss Is
INTELLIGENT INVESTOR (track record links)
Mike Stathis Warned About the 2022 Bear Market Before it Began
Can You Beat the S&P 500 Index? You Can If You Have Access to Our Research
Mike Stathis Predicted the Coronavirus Bear Market and Nailed the Bottom
Mike Shows You How to Make 100% in 2 Weeks and 200% in 6 months
Did You Own the Best Stock of 2016? Intelligent Investors Did
Mike Stathis is the Only Person to Have Nailed the First and Second Interest Rate Hikes
Mike Stathis Nails the Stock Market Breakout from November 2016 Months in Advance
Our Interest Rate Forecasts Have Yielded HUGE Gains
Mike Stathis Was The Only Person To Have Nailed The First Rate Hike
Our Clients Avoided Being Exposed To The Market Collapse
Mike Stathis Predicted The August 2015 Stock Market Collapse
Guess Who Advised His Clients To Go To Cash BEFORE The Market Collapse?
The Media Has Banned The World's Leading Investment Forecaster
World's Best Market Forecaster Continues To Be Banned By The Media Crooks
Stathis Nails The Dec 2014 Market Selloff With Stunning Accuracy
Mike Stathis MUST Have A Crystal Ball. He Nailed The Market Correction AGAIN (excerpts only)
Excerpts Of The October 2014 Economic And Securities Supplement Audio 2
Who Do You Think Nailed the Latest Market Selloff AGAIN?
Stathis Nails the Market Correction in April 2014
Mike Stathis Nails The Stock Market Correction AGAIN, Top To Bottom
Where Is The Stock Market Headed? Let's Ask The World's Best Market Forecaster
Stathis Nails the Gold & Silver Trade Again
We Predicted The Market Selloff Yet Again
More Proof Wall Street Research Is Useless
ANOTHER Security From Our Recommended List Gets Bought Out
We Predicted The Market Correction AGAIN
Does AVA Investment Analytics Have Insider Information?
We Pin-Pointed the Past Two Market Tops And Bottoms
Does AVA Investment Analytics Have Insider Information?
4-Day Gains of 30% for 2011 and 2010 Performance
Another Huge Winner in a Few Weeks
Newsletter Stock Recommendation Soars More Than 25% in Just 3 Days
Can a Book Serve as a Crystal Ball?
Since The Market Lows, Only One Man Continues To Shine
Mike Stathis' Near-Perfect Market Forecasting Record
Another Security from the Intelligent Investor Soars
How to Short Stocks: Critical Lessons from the Intelligent Investor
Mike's Top 3 Stocks for Long-term Growth
Where Is The Stock Market Headed?
DIVIDEND GEMS (track record links)
Mike Stathis is the Only Person to Have Nailed the First and Second Interest Rate Hikes
Dividend Gems Subscribers Are Treated To Yet ANOTHER HUGE BUYOUT - Kraft
Dividend Gems Scores Another Huge Winner
Dividend Gems Scores ANOTHER Huge Payday
We Sold CenturyLink BEFORE It Collapsed
Warren Buffett Follows Our Lead On Heinz
Did You Own The BEST PERFORMING Stock In 2011? WE DID
Dividend Gems Destroys The S&P 500 Index AGAIN
Dividend Gems Holds Up As The Stock Market Collapses
Dividend Gems Continues To Smash The S&P 500 Index
Dividend Gems Outperforms Again
Dividend Gems Shines As The Market Corrects
The Impressive Performance Of Dividend Gems
MARKET FORECASTER (partial list; see this link for more)
Mike Stathis is the Only Person to Have Nailed the First and Second Interest Rate Hikes
Mike Stathis Nails the Stock Market Breakout from November 2016 Months in Advance
Our Interest Rate Forecasts Have Yielded HUGE Gains
Mike Stathis Was The Only Person To Have Nailed The First Rate Hike
Our Clients Avoided Being Exposed To The Market Collapse
Mike Stathis Predicted The August 2015 Stock Market Collapse
Guess Who Advised His Clients To Go To Cash BEFORE The Market Collapse?
The Media Has Banned The World's Leading Investment Forecaster
World's Best Market Forecaster Continues To Be Banned By The Media Crooks
Stathis Nails The Dec 2014 Market Selloff With Stunning Accuracy
Mike Stathis MUST Have A Crystal Ball. He Nailed The Market Correction AGAIN (excerpts only)
Who Do You Think Nailed the Latest Market Selloff AGAIN?
Stathis Nails the Market Correction in April 2014
Mike Stathis Nails The Stock Market Correction AGAIN, Top To Bottom
Where Is The Stock Market Headed? Let's Ask The World's Best Market Forecaster
Market Guidance: Past, Present And Future (pre-newsletter, also see America's Financial Apocalypse)
A Lesson In Market Forecasting
Where Is The Stock Market Headed?
We Pin-Pointed The Past Two Market Tops And Bottoms
We Predicted The Market Correction AGAIN
Mike Stathis' Near-Perfect Market Forecasting Record
Since The Market Lows, Only One Man Continues To Shine
AVAIA Market Forecast And Recommendations SPOT ON, AGAIN
We Predicted The Market Selloff Yet Again
COMMODITIES, CURRENCIES & PRECIOUS METALS FORECASTER (track record links)
WTI & Brent Crude:*
Henry Hub Natural Gas:*
Gold & Silver:*
Mike Stathis Nails The Gold And Silver Trade Again (Oct - Nov 2015)
Guess Who Nailed The Most Recent Gold Trade AGAIN
Mike Stathis Nails The Latest Gold & Silver Trade (Jan-Feb 2015) Updated
Stathis Nails The Gold & Silver Selloff AGAIN - Jul - Sep 2014
March 25, 2013 Gold Analysis & Forecast
The REAL Precious Metals Expert Shows You How it's Done
Stathis Nails the Gold & Silver Trade AGAIN
August 2012 - We Nailed The Gold Breakout
Mike Stathis Sets The Record Straight And Cleanses Your Mind
Other Videos Showing Stathis' Track Record
Proof That Mike Stathis Has The Leading Track Record On The Economic Collapse
Stathis Nails The Dec 2014 Market Selloff With Stunning Accuracy
The Media Has Banned The World's Leading Investment Forecaster
World's Best Market Forecaster Continues To Be Banned By The Media Crooks
Mike Stathis MUST Have A Crystal Ball. He Nailed The Market Correction AGAIN (excerpts only)
Mike Stathis Nails The Stock Market Correction AGAIN, Top To Bottom
Where Is The Stock Market Headed? Let's Ask The World's Best Market Forecaster
FACT: Mike Stathis is the leading expert on the economic collapse.
He has enabled his clients to profit BEFORE, DURING and AFTER the collapse.
No One in the world can match his track record from 2006 to current and he has backed that claim with a $100,000 guarantee which was expanded to a $1 million guarantee.
The first thing you might want to do before continuing is to watch the video on this page. CLICK HERE.
View Mike Stathis' Track Record here, here, here, here, here, here and here.
The following list contains only a tiny portion of accurate macroeconomic forecasts and predictions made by Mike Stathis (verified by published research):*
* these forecasts do not include the accuracy of market forecasts and securities guidance provided in the research.
Newsletter Performance Highlights:
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26]
Video Presentation Highlights:
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10]
The links discussing the results of the video presentations above pertain to two video series published in April 2012 – “20 Stocks Over $100” and “60 Stocks Poised for HUGE Moves”
Note: several additional winners from these presentations that have not been included here for lack of time.
In the past, we also gave away some nice freebies as well:
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19]
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This publication (written, audio and video) represents the commentary and/or criticisms from Mike Stathis or other individuals affiliated with Mike Stathis or AVA Investment Analytics (referred to hereafter as the “author”). Therefore, the commentary and/or criticisms only serve as an opinion and therefore should not be taken to be factual representations, regardless of what might be stated in these commentaries/criticisms. There is always a possibility that the author has made one or more unintentional errors, misspoke, misinterpreted information, and/or excluded information which might have altered the commentary and/or criticisms. Hence, you are advised to conduct your own independent investigations so that you can form your own conclusions. We encourage the public to contact us if we have made any errors in statements or assumptions. We also encourage the public to contact us if we have left out relevant information which might alter our conclusions. We cannot promise a response, but we will consider all valid information.