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  • Mike Stathis is the best financial analyst in the world. He is also the most widely banned financial expert in U.S. history. Learn why.

  • ALL MEDIA is controlled by the JEWISH MAFIA, which engages in Massive Fraud

  • The Media Doesn't Want You to Know the Truth 

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  • The Media's Goal is to Promote Clowns as Experts

    The Media Works With Wall Street to Rip You Off

  • Find Out What the Wall Street and Media Cabal Don't Want You to Know. Learn how to beat them at their own game.

  • AVA Investment Analytics Provides Research from

    the Best Investment Forecaster in the World

  • Stathis holds the Best Forecasting Track Record Since 2006.       

    Check his track record [1][2][3][4][5][6

  • Mike Stathis is neither a perma-bear nor perma-bull. He is a real investment analyst.  Perma-bears and perma-bulls are NOT credible.

  • Mike's ability to see what others cannot has enabled those who have had access to his research to make tremendous amounts of money 

  • Mike's rise as the World's Greatest Analyst began during his early years working on Wall Street

  • Today, he publishes investment research far superior to anything coming out of Wall Street

  • Skeptical?  Check His Track Record Yourself [1][2][3][4][5][6]

  • Don't Rely on Clowns and Disinformation. If you are not able to think for yourself you will always be a slave to scam artists.   

  • If You Keep Listening to the Media, You Will Keep Losing Money

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  • AVA Investment Analytics is the World's Best investment research firm. Mike Stathis serves as the firm's chief investment strategist

Alerts

Opening Statement from the April 2019 Intelligent Investor 

Opening Statement from the April 2019 Intelligent Investor 

Originally published on April 4, 2019 (pre-market release)

Interest Rates

In the December 2018 Intelligent Investor and Market Forecaster, we discussed our view that the Federal Reserve was not likely to raise rates in 2019 prior to June 2019. During its recent meeting in February, the Fed made several statements pointing to a low chance of rate hikes prior to June 2019 confirming our previous sentiment.

It is important to follow various interest rate expectations because this is a variable that has been significant in influencing investor sentiment for quite some time. It may be of interest to note that by late December 2018, Goldman Sachs had lowered its estimate from four to three rate hikes. More recently, Goldman reduced its estimate to one hike for the entire 2019 year.

At the end of 2018, both JPMorgan and Barclays felt the Fed would raise rates four times in 2019. Two months later JPMorgan cut its forecast to two rate hikes for 2019. But by March 2019, after the Fed’s latest meeting, JP Morgan cut its rate forecast to one hike for 2019. Barclays has cut its previous forecast of four rate hikes to two in 2019.

Most investors have interpreted the Fed’s latest meeting in March to mean that no more rate hikes are expected for 2019. We do not agree with this interpretation (as discussed in an audio on the website).

Interestingly, more than 90% of investors believe the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points before the end of 2019. This expectation is in contrast to previous Fed fund futures data prior to the Fed’s March meeting that that implied investors were expecting one rate hike in 2019. Although it is a possibility, we currently see no supporting evidence that would justify a rate cut in 2019. In fact, we believe the Fed will

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This publication (written, audio and video) represents the commentary and/or criticism from Mike Stathis or another individual affiliated with Mike Stathis or AVA Investment Analytics (referred to hereafter as the “author”). Therefore, it is only an opinion and thus should not be taken to be factual. There is always a possibility that the author has made one or more unintentional errors, misinterpreted information, and/or excluded information which might have altered the commentary and/or criticisms. Hence, you are advised to conduct your own independent investigation so that you can form your own conclusions. We encourage the public to contact us if we have made any errors in statements or assumptions. We also encourage the public to contact us if we have left out relevant information which might alter our conclusions. We cannot promise a response, but we will consider all valid information.


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