• The World's Leading Investment Mind Has Been   


  • Mike Stathis is the best financial analyst in the world. He is also the most widely banned financial expert in U.S. history. Learn why.

  • ALL MEDIA is controlled by the JEWISH MAFIA, which engages in Massive Fraud

  • The Media Doesn't Want You to Know the Truth 

  • Advertisers Control ALL Media Content

  • The Media's Goal is to Promote Clowns as Experts

    The Media Works With Wall Street to Rip You Off

  • Find Out What the Wall Street and Media Cabal Don't Want You to Know. Learn how to beat them at their own game.

  • AVA Investment Analytics Provides Research from

    the Best Investment Forecaster in the World

  • Stathis holds the Best Forecasting Track Record Since 2006.       

    Check his track record [1][2][3][4][5][6

  • Mike Stathis is neither a perma-bear nor perma-bull. He is a real investment analyst.  Perma-bears and perma-bulls are NOT credible.

  • Mike's ability to see what others cannot has enabled those who have had access to his research to make tremendous amounts of money 

  • Mike's rise as the World's Greatest Analyst began during his early years working on Wall Street

  • Today, he publishes investment research far superior to anything coming out of Wall Street

  • Skeptical?  Check His Track Record Yourself [1][2][3][4][5][6]

  • Don't Rely on Clowns and Disinformation. If you are not able to think for yourself you will always be a slave to scam artists.   

  • If You Keep Listening to the Media, You Will Keep Losing Money

  • AVA Investment Analytics is World's Best Source of

    Investment Research & Investor Education 

  • Mike Stathis' advice and research have been utilized by multi-billion dollar mutual funds, hedge funds & pension plans

  • AVA Investment Analytics is the World's Best investment research firm. Mike Stathis serves as the firm's chief investment strategist


Opening Statement from the December 2018 Intelligent Investor 

Opening Statement from the December 2018 Intelligent Investor 

Originally published on December 5, 2018 (pre-market release)

US Economy

Despite the recent deceleration in global economic growth, the US economy remains solid even though it has been unable to escape lower growth estimates for 2018 and 2019. Regardless, most major economic metrics remain favorable, ensuring continuation of uninterrupted growth in 2019. Even wage growth has picked up over the past year which has factored into the Fed’s forecast for future rate hikes. Although the US will enter 2019 with decelerating momentum, we expect corporate earnings growth, consumer sentiment, unemployment, inflation and interest rates to remain at very healthy levels.

Interest Rates

In early October Fed Chairman Powell made a vague statement regarding the future direction of short-term interest rates. His statement was interpreted by investors to imply many more rate hikes would be forthcoming over the next few years. In short, Powell stated that the current short-term rates were “probably a long way from the neutral rate.” Considering the Fed had been providing future rate hike forecasts linked to relevant economic data for close to two years, investors appear to have overemphasized the meaning of Powell’s nondescript statement. Accordingly, the stock market selloff in early October commenced as a result of investor misinterpretation of Powell’s statement.

When the Fed met recently, Powell altered his wording when commenting on interest rates. In short, he stated that short-term interest rates are currently “just below the neutral rate” despite the fact that rates had not been raised since he spoke in early October. Given that the Fed had previously discussed targeting rate hikes to a level slightly above the neutral rate, it seems as if investors interpreted Powell’s recent statement (in late November) to mean that he has lowered his rate hike projections. This pleased investors who responded by piling into the stock market last week.

Although Powell’s comments regarding where rates need to be were just as vague in November as they were in October, investors assumed his recent statement was an indication of a more dovish posture relative to his position in early October.

Did Powell’s subtle change in wording really reflect a change in rate hike estimates by the Fed? We...


This article continues.

To continue viewing this entry please sign in to your Client or Member account.

Print article

Restrictions Against Reproduction: No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without the prior written permission of the copyright owner and the Publisher.

These articles and commentaries cannot be reposted or used in any publications for which there is any revenue generated directly or indirectly. These articles cannot be used to enhance the viewer appeal of any website, including any ad revenue on the website, other than those sites for which specific written permission has been granted. Any such violations are unlawful and violators will be prosecuted in accordance with these laws.

Article 19 of the United Nations' Universal Declaration of Human Rights: Everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression; this right includes freedom to hold opinions without interference and to seek, receive and impart information and ideas through any media and regardless of frontiers.

This publication (written, audio and video) represents the commentary and/or criticism from Mike Stathis or another individual affiliated with Mike Stathis or AVA Investment Analytics (referred to hereafter as the “author”). Therefore, it is only an opinion and thus should not be taken to be factual. There is always a possibility that the author has made one or more unintentional errors, misinterpreted information, and/or excluded information which might have altered the commentary and/or criticisms. Hence, you are advised to conduct your own independent investigation so that you can form your own conclusions. We encourage the public to contact us if we have made any errors in statements or assumptions. We also encourage the public to contact us if we have left out relevant information which might alter our conclusions. We cannot promise a response, but we will consider all valid information.